In the first poll of Democrats who are likely to vote in the September 14 primary, Rep. Charlie Rangel leads with only 39%, according to a new poll by Public Policy Polling for Democrats.com. (Full results)
Incumbents who fall below 50% are generally viewed as endangered.
Rangel leads a crowded field of challengers led by Adam Clayton Powell IV with 21%, Joyce Johnson with 7%, Jonathan Tasini with 6%, and Vince Morgan with 2%. These candidates filed enough petitions to qualify for the ballot, but Rangel's campaign is trying to throw some of those candidates off the ballot by challenging their petitions.
The race is largely a referendum on Rangel himself: 49% approve of Rangel's job performance, 27% disapprove, and 24% are unsure. Rangel's ethics problems are likely to become a central issue in the weeks ahead, as his opponents highlight an ongoing House ethics investigation.