As victory draws near for Obama and the Democrats, a handful of bloggers are getting ready for end-zone dances - let's hope they don't jinx the results.
Still, it's a fair question: how much credit do bloggers (and blog audiences) deserve if Democrats win?
Unlike 2006, there was no "macaca moment" - a single Youtube that transformed an election, in that case Virginia Senator George Allen's expected victory. So judging the role of bloggers requires a more sophisticated analysis.
The single most important moment in the presidential campaign had nothing to do with bloggers - it was the sudden collapse of Lehman Brothers on September 16. McCain was still enjoying his convention bounce, but when the bottom fell out of the stock market, it took McCain's campaign down with it.