The Democratic Presidential Race: A View from Pennsylvania

By Dave Lindorff

The results in Tuesday’s twin primaries—Barack Obama by 14 percent in North Carolina and Hillary Clinton by 2 percent in Indiana—confirmed that Clinton is finished as a contender. Barack Obama will be the Democratic candidate for president this fall.

Clinton, the private-schooled, Wellesley and Yale-educated millionaire lawyer from Chicago, who first tried to present herself as a White House veteran, and then, in recent weeks, as a NASCAR mom on Food Stamps, and who in Pennsylvania resorted to cheap race-baiting and red-baiting in an effort to derail her opponent, has failed. Barack Obama, another private-schooled Harvard and Yale-educated lawyer, but one who actually did have to work his way up the economic ladder, won decisively in North Carolina, even drawing a significant number of working-class white voters in a state where white voters have not traditionally voted for candidates with dark skin.

As a resident of Pennsylvania, I can only express a sense of shame for the large number of white voters here who bought Clinton’s subtle racist message. North Carolina, my mother’s home state, proved to be more resistant to the Clintons’toxic campaign than my adopted state. Exit polls suggest that as more than one in five Pennsylvanians voted in the primary on the basis of race. Now, if half of the 14 percent of the voters who were black voted for Obama for racial reasons, this still means that perhaps 14 percent of the state’s white voters, or about one in seven, voted for Hillary simply because her oppponent was black. I would argue that for a black person to vote for a black candidate because he is black is qualitatively different from a white person voting for a white candidate because the other candidate is black. First of all, blacks have not had the opportunity, ever, to vote for a candidate of their race who has a real chance at winning the nomination. It is a historic first. They are not saying they would not vote for a white candidate, and indeed, if they voted in the past, they probably did vote for white candidates, since that’s all there were on offer. It’s akin to women (and men) voting for Clinton because she is a woman. Obviously they are not saying they won’t vote for men, just that they want a chance to vote for a woman. A white candidate voting for a white candidate because they won’t vote for a black candidate is simply being racist, just as a person voting for Obama because Clinton is a woman would be a sexist. What we had in Pennsvlvania—indeed, accounting for more than Clinton’s entire 9 percent victory margin—was white racists voting against a black candidate.

Part of the problem for Obama in Pennsylvania, too, was the self-serving decision by Philadelphia’s new African-American mayor, Michael Nutter, to endorse Clinton instead of Obama. Nutter, clearly looking ahead to statewide office, when he will need white votes, opted for a candidate who, with her husband, helped pull the rug out from under many Philadelphians, white and black, with the Clinton administration’s ending of support for welfare programs on which many of the city’s poor and minority families desperately rely.

But at the same time, Obama himself contributed to his 9-point loss to Clinton in Pennsylvania by barely campaigning in Philadelphia, and by an over-reliance on television advertising—a mistake he did not repeat in Indiana and North Carolina.

In the end, the Clinton end-game strategy of using the race card, and of trying to recast herself, absurdly, as a working-class hero, may end up being all to the good for Obama. Clearly it forced him to move away from his empty “change” and “hope” slogans and to address the issues of ordinary working-class Americans—something he had largely avoided doing earlier in the campaign. It also put the issue of race—which the Republicans can be expected to use even more blatantly in the general election—out front and center, where it could be exposed to the light of day.

What seems to be happening is that racist Democrats, those who cannot vote for a black candidate, are rejecting Obama, and will probably either skip voting in November, or swing over to McCain, just as they swung over to Ronald Reagan and Richard Nixon before, on different but related issues. The difference is that Obama seems to be able to reach independent white voters and even liberal and libertarian Republican voters who are turned off by the Republicans’ overt racism, as well as by many of the Republicans’ so-called “social policy” positions, such as abortion bans, opposition to gay rights, denial of global warming, etc.

From here in Pennsylvania, I’d say the outlook for the fall is likely to be a strong win for Obama in a McCain/Obama match-up. In a funny way, he will have Pennsylvania, and Hillary’s sewer campaign, to thank.
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DAVE LINDORFF is a Philadelphia-based journalist and columnist. His latest book is "The Case for Impeachment" (St. Martin's Press, 2006 and now available in paperback edition). His work is available at www.thiscantbehappening.net

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Thank God it's over and Barack didn't resort to a smackdown.

I'm just glad it's over and we can unite the party and kick some Rethugliklan arse out with voters heading for the White House to make the needed domestic changes and the also the changing of representatives, that only represent themselves.

 

mommapanther

Baracks "win:

"I'm just glad its over and we can unite the party..."

Beg pardon?? I don't believe you asked me. Honey, it ain't over till the fat lady sings. And believe me, if Barack Obama gets the DNC nomination, there is liable to be singing like you never heard. And I don't mean shouts ofjoy...I mean the funeral dirge for the Democratic party. Women have graciously backed down since the Revolutionary War, and allowed sexism to control the military, the money, the morals, the legislatures, the lobbyists, and the media -- and have made an unholy mess of this entire planet. I for one will consider the Democratic Party a dead entity if Barack Obama gets the nomination, and the death will be from suicide.

You're an Independent

you know that, right?

Independent's just another word for 'nothing left to lose.'

Usama bin Forgotten

I'm with you Grandma!

It seems the nasty Obama fans and pundits don't realize the damage they've done to the Democratic Party.  Hurray for Frank Rich, the NYTimes, Maureen O'Dowd,  Bob Herbert and all the millions of others who have been smearing Hillary all these months. You think you won? Not so fast.  You forgot about the millions of really, REALLY angry Hillary supporters who are loathe to vote for Obama now, not because we are racist, or even because we dislike Obama.  We are are just disgusted by the the way this whole thing has played out.We feel that Obama played the race card to his advantage in South Carolina, the bloggers and media have ripped our candidate to shreds. Now you think we will just turn around and vote your way? Not likely.

Cut off your nose to spite your face?

I admit I just don't get it:

  • Horrific anger? Yes.
  • Spitting blood at one's nemesis? Yes.
  • Etc.

...But DISPLACED anger at a time when this Nation needs every hand on deck???

--------------------------------------------------------------------

What about sitting down to a plate piled high with SHIT and eating it with a big grin on one's face? We owe that to our kids. Rest assured, that is not one's final effort, or a sign of acquiescence. It is just one out of an infinity of slings and arrows one must suffer as the bigger picture is embraced.

It was a real joy hearing my oldest girl talk a bit about Hillary. It has already changed our culture and the political game board forever.

We need a Dem in the White House, however flawed they may be. That is one seat we must gain amongst hundreds of others. Bush did not change this Nation. Bush appeared after the Religious Right, Rush and company, and the Liberal production of peace and prosperity allowed folks to entertain nonsense. So too, a Democratic President will not change this Nation. IT MAKES THE IMPLEMENTATION OF OUR EFFORTS EASIER HOWEVER.

I'm voting D. regardless of who has been an asshole to me recently.

There is no need to interpret this as voting "my" way, should someone else decide to do the same.

Jim

"Now you think we will just

"Now you think we will just turn around and vote your way? Not likely."

My way? What in the hell are you talking about? There is only ONE way to vote in the upcoming General Election -- Democratic! Are you seriously saying that you would vote for McBomb, or a third-Party spoiler (which would be the same thing)?

Both Hillary and Obama have given as good as they've taken from each other. They have both danced around the gender and race "issues," and you can bet that the Karl Rove neoconservative Republicans will use either of those two non-issues, regardless of who becomes the Democratic nominee.

Both Hillary and Obama are good candidates for the highest office in the land, and most importantly, they are both DEMOCRATS. If you are not committed to voting for the eventual Democratic nominee, whoever that may be, you are on the wrong website, and a probable neocon Republican supporter.

So, just what is the message WV gives us...

following their primary?

Is WV a bellweather state, a hanging chad so to speak, a swing state for the Democratic Party?

Last Dem candidate to lose in WV and still managed to get elected was in 1916. [Election trivia is always fun] Seems as if both Gore and Kerry failed to win WV.

Does Obama's huge loss in WV indicate to us all that he may be the presumptive nominee, but one who will fail to win in the GE? If he is, what do we do to insure a win?

Still very much in play are the states of Michigan, Florida, and Texas(final result due June 7th), as well as the final primary states which end with a caucus in PR.

There is a serious question despite Obama's slim lead that he can capture the large and swing states in the GE. Major problem.

Additionally, national poll results(many of them)show Clinton doing better against McCain in the GE.

Ladies and Gentlemen, we really have a problem.

A mind once expanded can never return to its original dimensions.

Anne Hathaway: 1556-1623

 

The greatest derangement of the mind is to believe in something because one wishes it to be so.

Grinch, all you have pointed

Grinch, all you have pointed out is true, which is why it is so very important to strengthen the Democratic majority in both Houses of Congress.

Contrary to the past eight years, it is the job of Congress to oversee and hold the president accountable, and not the other way around. The American people should not need to worry about who, or which Party, holds the Oval Office.

Under the Constitution, the Congress makes and enforces laws, has the sole power to commit and fund the use of military force, and holds the power to override presidential vetoes. We must restore the Congress to its Constitutionally mandated function of representing the People, and not the president, nor his/her corporate sponsors.

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