The 2004 Election Simulation Model

 

The following contains a link to the 2004 Election Simulation Model: http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/2004ElectionSimulationModel.htm

The model is  based on four sets of polls:

     
(1) Pre-election State polls , (2) Pre-election National Polls (18), (3) Post-election State exit polls, (4) National Exit poll.  
The model can be used to run simulations, calculate probabilities and perform "sensitivity analysis" to see the  
effects of changes in assumptions on the electoral  and popular vote.          
                   
The model provides a strong circumstantial case for those who believe the election was stolen.      
Kerry wins all state and national pre and post-election simulations.
           

There are only two possible explanations:

either the  pre-election AND exit polls were wrong - or massive fraud occurred.