While Bill Clinton has said more than a few dumb things during the campaign, Hillary has done pretty well - until now. Here's what she said at a fundraiser after Super Tuesday:

"Moveon.org endorsed [Sen. Barack Obama] -- which is like a gusher of money that never seems to slow down. We have been less successful in caucuses because it brings out the activist base of the Democratic Party. MoveOn didn't even want us to go into Afghanistan. I mean, that's what we're dealing with. And you know they turn out in great numbers. And they are very driven by their view of our positions, and it's primarily national security and foreign policy that drives them. I don't agree with them. They know I don't agree with them. So they flood into these caucuses and dominate them and really intimidate people who actually show up to support me."

There's a lot to take apart here, and the blogs are all over it, for all the obvious reasons.

I like the "intimidate" part. Not long ago, the Clintonistas were calling Obama's voters "latte drinkers," but now they're thugs. Latte-drinking thugs - somehow I'm having trouble conjuring up that image...

I never thought Obama's "bitter" remark would hurt him because it wasn't an attack on anyone, just a bad attempt at amateur pop psychology. But I think Hillary's remark will hurt her, because it is an attack on 3.5 million Moveon members and every Democrat who agrees with them.

Bloggers want clarification: what specifically does she not agree with us on? Getting out of Iraq, perhaps? She has said at least 1,000 times, "I will end the war." Has she been lying to us about the single most important issue in the campaign? I certainly hope not.

I'm sad that the race has come down to this. Hillary is a great politician and a great woman leader. Of course she was dead wrong on Iraq, but she could have done what John Edwards did: admit his mistake and apologize. It's never been clear to me why she didn't: perhaps as the first woman candidate for President she couldn't afford to admit a mistake on the most important foreign policy decision she made, or perhaps she doesn't think invading Iraq was a mistake. But her promise to "end the war" at least left some room for hope - enough for the millions of Democrats who want to support the serious first woman candidate.

On Tuesday, Pennsylvania Democrats may well decide the outcome of the race. Hillary needs to win by more than 3-4% to call it a victory, since she started out ahead by nearly 20%. But if everyone Hillary disagrees with votes against her, she'll have a hard time beating the handicap.

But I stopped making predictions after New Hampshire, and I'm not about to start now...